I wrote about this last month, and it’s been in the news again this past week, because there’s once again discussion to “relax” the mark to market accounting rule known as FAS 157. I expect that the discussion in Washington is what’s behind the rally in financial stocks this past week. It doesn’t really matter, as the financials are no where near the end of their crash.
They will be going lower no matter what accounting mechanism they use, because eventually they need to fess up and pay their debts – unless we keep giving them billions. In that case, we’ll all go down with them.
I read an article on CNN.com a few minutes ago titled “Quit whining about accounting!” which reminded me of the discussion, and the story has some good quotes.
Sure, mark to market may be prolonging the problems for big banks such as Citigroup and Bank of America, because as long as these companies are stuck with soured mortgage-related assets on their books, they will need to keep taking huge writedowns that cause them to report massive losses.
“The problem with the mark-to-market rule is that it requires you to value assets under the presumption that you are going to liquidate everything today in a fire sale. Most financial institutions are not liquidating,” said Richard Ebeling, senior research fellow for the American Institute for Economic Research and a professor of economics at Trinity College in Hartford.
He has a good point. But changing the rules to make these assets look more attractive than they currently are – because they might one day be worth something again if you click your heels three times and chant “There’s no place like a foreclosed home” over and over – is not the solution to the banking crisis.
I agree. Changing the valuation so you can just make something up for the value of an asset is dumb. That’s Enron accounting.
“Those who oppose mark-to-market rules say it exacerbates the downside because it is giving a false signal about the economic value of securities. But the truth is that’s not the case,” said Patrick Finnegan, director of the financial reporting policy group for the CFA Institute, a nonprofit organization that administers the Chartered Financial Analyst exam for investment professionals.
Finnegan argues that current market values are the only way to reflect assets on a bank’s balance sheet, since anything else would be mere guesswork.
In my previous post, I referred to this “guesswork” as Mark to Myth, because that’s what it is. It’s saying “I paid $1 million for this 2 years ago, and I say it’s still worth $1 million – It doesn’t matter if my neighbor just sold his $1 million home for $500k, Mine is still worth $1 million.” That’s ignoring reality, and that’s dumb.
“Companies are fighting for their survival and they want to use accounting to obfuscate their true financial position. Who’s to say their view is more sound or fundamentally reliable than what the market thinks?” said Finnegan.
The call for changing accounting standards, much like the blame game that’s being played with short sellers, shifts the focus from the real problem. Banks aren’t struggling because the rules are stacked against them; banks are struggling because they made bad decisions throughout the bubble years.
A moratorium on mark-to-market accounting would only reward bankers for their reckless behavior of the past.
What’s more, it only would serve to delay what obviously must be done: banks need to get rid of the assets soon — whatever the short-term cost — instead of sitting on them indefinitely.
The really sad thing is that someday the value of these assets may actually rise, and if the banks change the accounting rules, they won’t get to claim the increased valuation because they’ll be using a different model. These are the same short-sighted idiots who got us into this mess, and right now they’re looking for any rope at all to grab – even if it has the shape of a noose.
gk